EXPRESS INDEX - HOUSING MARKET UPDATE - July 2026

There are many UK housing market indexes released every month and we are attempting to provide the ultimate, comprehensive overview to the very fragmented reports available.

UK HOUSING MARKET SNAPSHOT

Average House Price
(Price Paid)

£271,000

Monthly Change 0.3%

Annual Change 2.7%

5 Year Change 17.94%

Source: HM Land Registry

Average House Price
(Asking Price)

£372,359

Monthly Change -1.0%

Annual Change -0.4%

5 Year Change 13.41%

Source: Rightmove

Number of Sales Completed

52,931

Monthly Change 6.2%

Annual Change --60.6%

5 Year Change -53.51%

Source: HM Land Registry

Sales Agreed

Annual Change 6%

Source: Rightmove

Total Available Properties

623,787

Available Properties Change

Monthly Change 5.92%

Average Time on Market

86 days

Source: Home

Average Time to Sell

62 days

Source: Rightmove

Price Reductions

1.1% properties price reduced last month

Source: Home

Mortgage Approvals

Annual Change 10.8%

Source: Bank of England

POSTCODE DISTRICT DATA
  • For the ‘Price Paid Data’ we use the most recent HM Land Registry data for home sales in England and Wales between September 2023 - March 2024.
  • We use a rolling 6 month snapshot of home sales in each localised Postcode District to reduce potential volatility.
  • In order to reduce the effect of outliers. We calculate average Postcode District prices using the median rather than the mean. This creates a more realistic representation of local transactions.
  • Traffic light system key:
    Green = Yoy > 2%
    Amber = Yoy >= -2% and Yoy <= 2%
    Red = Yoy < -2%
Price Paid Data
Asking Price Data
REGIONAL HOUSE PRICES
22
333
444
NATIONAL HOUSING MARKET COMMENTARY

"The average asking price of a newly-listed home coming to the market for sale falls by 1.0% (-£3,832) this month to £372,359. While a price drop in July is normal, this month's fall is much larger than the ten-year average July fall of 0.2%. Sellers are having to compete harder to attract distracted summer buyers in the current market, where supply is very high. Although the number of available homes for sale is 1% below this time last year, it is still very close to a 12 -year high for the time of year. Home-movers are always distracted by the summer holiday season, but this year the World Cup and the unusually hot summer have also contributed to lower activity levels. Rightmove analysis shows that the first heatwave in May caused a temporary 8% drop in buyer demand before rebounding, while June's heatwave caused a similar temporary decline of 6%, followed by a 4% dip during the current July heatwave."

"The June 2026 RICS UK Residential Market Survey points to only tentative signs of improvement, despite the recent easing in global geopolitical tensions and the associated unwinding in oil prices. That said, anecdotal remarks from respondents suggest that domestic political uncertainty is emerging as another headwind for the market. Overall, activity indicators remain subdued, although the pace of deterioration appears to be moderating. While the near-term outlook for sales volumes remains relatively soft, sentiment is less downbeat than in recent months, suggesting that the housing market may be moving towards a more stable phase."

REGIONAL HOUSING MARKET COMMENTARY

"For house prices, the latest aggregate net balance came in at -33%, broadly in line with the readings of -35% and -34% recorded in April and May respectively. As such, while the indicator continues to point to modest downward pressure on prices at the national level, the trend appears to be stabilising rather than deteriorating further. At the regional level, the South East and South West of England continue to exhibit noticeably more negative net balances than the UK average. By contrast, respondents in Northern Ireland and, to a lesser extent, Scotland continue to report that house prices are following an upward trajectory."

"In London, this extra cost for a home buyer is £244 a month (£2,900 a year) but just £69 a month (£830 a year) in the North East. For a first- time buyer in London the monthly repayment increased by £232 at the April peak: nearly three and a half times the £66 monthly increase facing a first-time buyer in the North East."

HOUSE PRICE PREDICTIONS FOR 2025

Tim Bannister, Property Expert at Rightmove: 4% rise

“More people choosing to make their move in 2025, teamed with lower mortgage rates, could push house prices up by 4% over the course of 2025… The big picture of market activity remains positive… which sets us up for what we predict will be a stronger 2025 in both prices and number of homes sold.”

Amanda Bryden, Head of Halifax Mortgages: 0% to +3% rise

“We expect modest house price growth in 2025, likely a little lower than this year at up to +3%… While further cuts to Bank Rate are still on the cards, the pace looks likely to be more gradual than previously anticipated… buyer demand should continue to hold up well.”

Richard Donnell, Executive Director at Zoopla: 2.5% rise

“The housing market has been resilient… Higher income growth and lower mortgage rates have helped reset housing affordability… We expect this to continue over 2025.”

Lucian Cook, Head of Residential Research at Savills: 1% rise

“Interest rates have fallen as expected, giving buyers a bit more financial capacity than they had a year ago… Greater geopolitical uncertainty… has made predicting the precise path of further cuts more challenging.”

Nick Barnes, Head of Research at Chestertons: 3.4% rise

“Chestertons forecasts that property prices will rise by 3.4% across the UK and 3% in London in 2025, supported by lower mortgage costs, modest but consistent growth for the UK economy and inflation staying around the Bank of England’s 2% target.”

HOUSE PRICE PREDICTIONS
IMPORTANT LIABILITY STATEMENT

An ExprEstimate is simply an estimation of what your property could be worth in current market conditions. This is calculated using an automated computerised system. We use a number of publicly available data sources to help calculate our estimations, maps, tables and other content. This data may be inaccurate or incomplete at times and therefore must not be relied upon. Our valuation estimations, maps and tables are provided to you for personal use, general interest and to provide homeowners with a useful starting point when trying to assess their property’s current value and the UK property market in general. These estimates, maps, tables and any other content should not be relied upon for any type of commercial transaction. We strongly recommend that you seek a professional valuation from a qualified surveyor / qualified professional before any property sale, purchase, mortgage or related purposes. We shall not be liable for any losses you or anyone else suffers as a result of relying on the valuations, maps, tables and any other content. This includes not being liable for any loss of profit, loss of bargain, loss of capital through over-payment or under-sale or for any indirect, special or consequential loss. We cannot and do not guarantee that the Service will be constantly available or error-free. Also, our liability to you is limited to £100. WE DO NOT EXCLUDE OR LIMIT OUR LIABILITY FOR ANYTHING WE ARE NOT ALLOWED TO AND YOUR STATUTORY RIGHTS AS A CONSUMER ARE NOT AFFECTED BY ANY OF THESE TERMS AND CONDITIONS.